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CIA Psychology of Intelligence and Analysis
CIA Psychology of Intelligence and Analysis
CIA Psychology of Intelligence and Analysis
Item#: cia-psychology-of-intelligence-and-analysis
Regular price: $4.95
Sale price: $0.99

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CIA Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Instant Download

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This electronic instant download pulls together and republishes, with some editing, updating,

and additions, articles written during 1978-86 for internal use within the CIA Directorate

of Intelligence. Four of the articles also appeared in the Intelligence Community

journal Studies in Intelligence during that time frame. The information is relatively

timeless and still relevant to the never-ending quest for better analysis.

The articles are based on reviewing cognitive psychology literature concerning how

people process information to make judgments on incomplete and ambiguous

information. I selected the experiments and findings that seem most relevant to

intelligence analysis and most in need of communication to intelligence analysts. I

then translated the technical reports into language that intelligence analysts can

understand and interpreted the relevance of these findings to the problems

intelligence analysts face.

 

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C O N T E N T S

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 PART I--OUR MENTAL

MACHINERY

Chapter 1: Thinking About Thinking

 Chapter 2: Perception: Why Can't

We See What Is There to Be Seen?

 Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We

Remember What We Know?

 PART II--TOOLS FOR

THINKING

Chapter 4: Strategies for Analytical

Judgment: Transcending the Limits

of Incomplete Information

 Chapter 5: Do You Really Need

More Information?

 Chapter 6: Keeping an Open Mind

 Chapter 7: Structuring Analytical

Problems

 Chapter 8: Analysis of Competing

Hypotheses

PART III--COGNITIVE BIASES

 Chapter 9: What Are Cognitive

Biases?

 Chapter 10: Biases in Evaluation of

Evidence

Chapter 11: Biases in Perception of

Cause and Effect

Chapter 12: Biases in Estimating

Probabilities

Chapter 13: Hindsight Biases in

Evaluation of Intelligence Reporting

 PART IV--CONCLUSIONS

 Chapter 14: Improving Intelligence

Analysis

 

This ebook can change you view of personal perspectives forever!

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